Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.321459 3.576634 3.852905 4.176221 4.546800 4.961466 5.465132
2025-12-07 2.876918 3.204797 3.581017 4.051066 4.632174 5.340656 6.292601
2025-12-14 2.590533 2.942701 3.360814 3.904512 4.609994 5.521314 6.837991
2025-12-21 2.439286 2.817480 3.279944 3.903097 4.748492 5.902795 7.697551
2025-12-28 2.307364 2.700331 3.192291 3.874717 4.835812 6.213076 8.503672
2026-01-04 2.158557 2.549065 3.045975 3.749531 4.767506 6.279673 8.929616
2026-01-11 2.073594 2.473029 2.990511 3.740210 4.858982 6.592637 9.831770
2026-01-18 2.029146 2.445931 2.996548 3.814784 5.079329 7.138235 11.300736
2026-01-25 2.138429 2.629442 3.302544 4.353438 6.096299 9.248858 16.909459
2026-02-01 2.011598 2.481600 3.129871 4.150517 5.864218 9.024129 16.986310
2026-02-08 1.888592 2.334120 2.950751 3.926171 5.575411 8.650062 16.563276
2026-02-15 1.831222 2.276078 2.898394 3.897448 5.624360 8.959490 18.167884
2026-02-22 1.766272 2.211401 2.842763 3.876107 5.715610 9.444369 20.848727
2026-03-01 1.679752 2.112938 2.732868 3.760381 5.625592 9.533566 22.408652
2026-03-08 1.597689 2.016787 2.620604 3.631051 5.493054 9.496877 23.520145
2026-03-15 1.554089 1.974136 2.586685 3.629744 5.605816 10.068641 27.752596
2026-03-22 1.508370 1.926071 2.541363 3.604563 5.667162 10.532088 32.242100
2026-03-29 1.446171 1.851136 2.450479 3.493294 5.539362 10.468495 33.865562
2026-04-05 1.411409 1.815539 2.419391 3.484999 5.625355 11.018025 40.472321
2026-04-12 1.395130 1.806712 2.429844 3.551326 5.880145 12.148855 55.514382
2026-04-19 1.459928 1.923581 2.649946 4.027599 7.165899 17.500223 241.362439
2026-04-26 1.396382 1.839498 2.533421 3.848751 6.841791 16.672550 224.970243
2026-05-03 1.331862 1.752413 2.409437 3.650217 6.454658 15.523178 184.614411